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Why Japan's Conviction Rate is 99% (Actually Explained)

Why Japan's Conviction Rate is 99% (Actually Explained)

That Japanese Man Yuta
3 HN recommenders · discussed 2020–2020
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About this video

Yuta explains what Japan's 99% conviction rate actually means, noting that prosecutors drop cases unless confidence is very high. He argues that the number is widely misunderstood and cites his sources.

Why it appears in the archive

Recommended as a sourced, nuanced corrective whenever the Japanese justice system's conviction rate is raised.

AI-generated summary and labels from the source dataset; verify important details against the video. Source & credits.

From the Hacker News discussion

diegoperini · 2020-02 · rec

I'm not Japanese, but I've seen this Japanese person explaining the situation informally but thoroughly. [VIDEO] The premise is, yes 99% percent is a measured rate but also has no utility in a discussion if the other parts of the big picture is ignored.

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jdtang13 · 2020-03 · rec

This 99% number does not mean what people think it means. The Japanese prosecution system is a pipeline that strongly filters out unlikely-to-be-convicted cases from the very beginning. Long before you are convicted, you might not even be arrested, or your case gets dismissed earlier in the pipeline. Here is a video, with references, from a relatively trustworthy source: [VIDEO]

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kyuudou · 2020-05 · rec

You might want to hear what Yuta has to say about this[1]. It's not as black and white, basically. 1: [VIDEO]

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jbay808 · 2020-02 · reference

The high conviction rate seems to be because cases are dropped unless the prosecution's confidence is very high, rather than letting it go to trial. [VIDEO]

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